Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.042242 0.049377 0.057230 0.066496 0.077115 0.088885 0.102902
2025-04-13 0.030508 0.039523 0.050380 0.064352 0.081785 0.102738 0.129743
2025-04-20 0.024735 0.035058 0.048501 0.067131 0.092097 0.124187 0.168310
2025-04-27 0.020407 0.031363 0.046663 0.069297 0.101575 0.145526 0.209375
2025-05-04 0.016098 0.026707 0.042521 0.067373 0.104890 0.158712 0.240848
2025-05-11 0.013174 0.023447 0.039701 0.066679 0.109529 0.173905 0.276486
2025-05-18 0.010663 0.020299 0.036434 0.064626 0.111576 0.185182 0.307212
2025-05-25 0.008807 0.017865 0.033860 0.063172 0.114160 0.197270 0.340091
2025-06-01 0.007585 0.016315 0.032501 0.063478 0.119526 0.214120 0.381956
2025-06-08 0.006337 0.014456 0.030256 0.061818 0.121169 0.224793 0.414421
2025-06-15 0.005844 0.014020 0.030600 0.064940 0.131633 0.251412 0.476287
2025-06-22 0.005122 0.012947 0.029511 0.065119 0.136596 0.268703 0.523235
2025-06-29 0.004322 0.011561 0.027598 0.063464 0.138009 0.279994 0.561052
2025-07-06 0.003687 0.010421 0.026022 0.062270 0.140174 0.292880 0.603027
2025-07-13 0.003444 0.010201 0.026451 0.065433 0.151571 0.324467 0.683108
2025-07-20 0.003173 0.009851 0.026520 0.067798 0.161540 0.354136 0.761978
2025-07-27 0.002706 0.008862 0.024895 0.066038 0.162389 0.365550 0.805740
2025-08-03 0.002364 0.008147 0.023824 0.065421 0.165661 0.382167 0.861306
2025-08-10 0.002012 0.007312 0.022290 0.063436 0.165546 0.391591 0.902749
2025-08-17 0.001734 0.006637 0.021060 0.062022 0.166570 0.403487 0.950275
2025-08-24 0.001555 0.006238 0.020526 0.062332 0.171746 0.424905 1.019845
2025-08-31 0.001337 0.005649 0.019337 0.060704 0.171934 0.435105 1.065650
2025-09-07 0.001280 0.005623 0.019822 0.063777 0.184348 0.474340 1.179073